Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CIT -260 PRES +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +12 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | CIT -16.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+29.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -12.5 (-0.5) | 147.2 (+28.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -11.7 (+0.3) | 154.5 (+21.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -12.7 (-0.7) | 145.7 (+30.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -14.1 (-2.1) | 145.8 (+30.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | PRES 69 – 41 CIT |
| Nov 14, 2023 | PRES 71 – 64 CIT |
| Nov 11, 2022 | CIT 70 – 58 PRES |
| Nov 16, 2021 | PRES 74 – 70 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-6 |
| Away | 1-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#165) | -13.0 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#99) | -1.66 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#119) | -3.14 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#183) | 0.340 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 25.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 35.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 79.1% | 82.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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