Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | CIT +320 PRES -410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +28 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | PRES -7.8 (-20.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -5.5 (-22.5) | 127.0 (-17.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -5.5 (-22.5) | 128.9 (-18.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -5.7 (-22.3) | 130.3 (-20.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -6.8 (-21.2) | 132.0 (-22.0) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2023 | PRES 71 – 64 CIT |
| Nov 11, 2022 | CIT 70 – 58 PRES |
| Nov 16, 2021 | PRES 74 – 70 CIT |
| Dec 22, 2020 | CIT 94 – 82 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -15.9 (#358) | -8.1 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.92 (#361) | -1.17 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.95 (#362) | -2.20 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.268 (#364) | 0.454 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 23.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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