Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | WSU -900 PV +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +28 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -9.7 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.0 (+29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -8.2 (+19.8) | 129.9 (+22.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -8.9 (+19.1) | 130.7 (+21.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -10.8 (+17.2) | 129.7 (+22.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -12.3 (+15.7) | 132.6 (+19.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | WSU 83 – 65 PV |
| Nov 16, 2022 | PV 70 – 59 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 16-5 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 13-0 |
| Home | 11-5 | 8-0 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 64.2 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#153) | -5.2 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#36) | -0.27 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.30 (#42) | -1.02 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#88) | 0.529 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 25.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 57.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 39.9% |
Game Analysis
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