Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -450 TLSA +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +7 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -10.6 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-31.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -10.3 (-17.3) | 140.4 (-35.4) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -7.3 (-14.3) | 136.6 (-31.6) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -8.7 (-15.7) | 140.7 (-35.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -9.6 (-16.6) | 140.5 (-35.5) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 66 MEM |
| Feb 6, 2025 | MEM 83 – 71 TLSA |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MEM 78 – 75 TLSA |
| Jan 29, 2023 | MEM 80 – 68 TLSA |
| Jan 23, 2022 | MEM 83 – 81 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-8 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-1 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-3 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#75) | 0.5 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#75) | -1.88 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#62) | -2.57 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#127) | 0.332 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.