Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | UNCO -600 IDST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +5 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -8.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -4.2 (+0.8) | 130.8 (+2.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -3.4 (+1.6) | 129.1 (+3.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -3.8 (+1.2) | 127.1 (+5.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -4.8 (+0.2) | 127.9 (+5.1) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNCO 69 – 61 IDST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 72 IDST |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UNCO 86 – 72 IDST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNCO 93 – 92 IDST |
| Mar 11, 2024 | IDST 83 – 76 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 8-6 |
| Home | 6-5 | 8-3 |
| Away | 4-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#257) | -9.9 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#228) | -2.87 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#255) | -4.78 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#239) | 0.343 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 26.7% | 32.1% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 78.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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