Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | EVAN +400 BEL -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -8.3 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -4.9 (-4.1) | 144.2 (-9.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -6.4 (-2.6) | 145.2 (-10.2) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -5.2 (-3.8) | 148.6 (-13.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -4.7 (-4.3) | 145.8 (-10.8) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BEL 98 – 64 EVAN |
| Dec 17, 2025 | BEL 83 – 78 EVAN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | EVAN 80 – 75 BEL |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BEL 85 – 82 EVAN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BEL 83 – 66 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 26-4 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 18-2 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-10 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 81.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#282) | 3.8 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#238) | 0.99 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#267) | 0.65 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#260) | 0.523 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 20.3% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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