Betting Lines
| Spread | CHSO -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | CHSO -180 HAMP +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | CHSO -2.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -1.0 (-3.0) | 133.0 (+5.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -0.3 (-2.3) | 130.0 (+8.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -0.0 (-2.0) | 130.2 (+7.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -2.6 (+0.6) | 134.2 (+3.8) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2022 | HAMP 78 – 74 CHSO |
| Dec 22, 2020 | HAMP 67 – 55 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-18 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 2-15 | 9-9 |
| Home | 1-9 | 5-7 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#304) | -9.5 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.66 (#327) | -2.40 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.72 (#329) | -3.55 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.335 (#310) | 0.280 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.33 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 35.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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