Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | BYU -2400 TXSO +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +16 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -12.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -10.2 (+5.8) | 139.8 (+18.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -12.3 (+3.7) | 140.3 (+17.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -12.8 (+3.2) | 139.1 (+18.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -12.5 (+3.5) | 143.5 (+14.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2021 | BYU 81 – 64 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-7 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 10-3 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-2 |
| Away | 7-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#66) | -1.3 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#52) | 0.90 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#56) | 1.16 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#58) | 0.605 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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