What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Boise State Broncos
77 – 53
FINAL Conference
New Mexico Lobos
Mountain West Conference · ExtraMile Arena · December 22, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -9.5 Home covered
O/U 141.0 Under
Money BOIS -600 / UNM +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total BOIS win
Actual BOIS +24 130 Won
Massey BOIS -10.1 (+13.9) — —
Massey Totals — 133.5 (-3.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BOIS -9.0 (+15.0) 137.4 (-7.4) 79% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -10.9 (+13.1) 135.0 (-5.0) 78% ✓
Baseline ML BOIS -12.2 (+11.8) 136.0 (-6.0) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 BOIS 91 – 90 UNM
Dec 31, 2025 BOIS 62 – 53 UNM
Mar 15, 2025 BOIS 72 – 69 UNM
Feb 20, 2025 BOIS 86 – 78 UNM
Jan 18, 2025 UNM 84 – 65 BOIS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BOIS UNM
Overall 19-9 6-16
Conference 14-6 2-15
Home 11-1 1-4
Away 6-6 3-8
Neutral 2-2 1-4
Last 5 3-1 1-0
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 75.4 62.1
Avg Pts Against 67.4 72.8
Massey 12.7 (#23) 7.0 (#68)
Bradley-Terry 2.89 (#20) 1.94 (#47)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.51 (#14) 2.68 (#59)
RPI 0.666 (#13) 0.650 (#21)
Shooting & Four Factors BOIS UNM
FG% 42.0% 43.9%
3PT% 32.2% 23.5%
REB / G 37.2 49.0
OREB / G 11.0 19.0
AST / TO 1.14 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 47.0%
TOV% 17.6% 22.0%
ORB% 29.7% 48.7%
FT Rate 25.2% 15.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.6% 45.5%
Opp TOV% 23.9% 21.9%
DRB% 75.0% 75.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.5% 17.9%

Game Analysis

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