Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | LIB -10000 ALCN +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +43 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -26.1 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+32.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -21.0 (+22.0) | 140.2 (+32.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -18.1 (+24.9) | 145.7 (+27.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -27.5 (+15.5) | 137.3 (+35.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -24.3 (+18.7) | 139.9 (+33.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-6 | 6-13 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 6-7 |
| Home | 13-0 | 4-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#81) | -15.1 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#104) | -0.53 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#107) | -0.61 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#92) | 0.560 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 32.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 22.9% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 36.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 28.1% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 56.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 37.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.