Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | BC -4500 ME +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +16 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | BC -7.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -6.1 (+9.9) | 137.9 (+2.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -5.6 (+10.4) | 138.5 (+1.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -4.7 (+11.3) | 142.5 (-2.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -5.8 (+10.2) | 143.0 (-3.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2022 | ME 69 – 64 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-16 | 2-7 |
| Conference | 2-11 | 2-6 |
| Home | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Away | 0-7 | 1-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 53.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 64.6 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#199) | -5.2 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#173) | -1.17 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#139) | -1.51 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#133) | 0.426 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 26.2% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 27.4% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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