Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | BC -2500 ME +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | BC -7.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BC -9.4 (-14.4) | 144.4 (-11.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -6.6 (-11.6) | 145.0 (-12.0) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2020 | BC 78 – 62 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#267) | -0.9 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#81) | -0.34 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#115) | -0.45 (#210) |
| RPI | — | 0.625 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 41.4% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 58.2% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 15.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 3.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 57.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.6% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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