Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | UALB -140 NIA +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +5 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -5.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -2.9 (-7.9) | 130.6 (+4.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -4.0 (-9.0) | 129.2 (+5.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -3.7 (-8.7) | 127.3 (+7.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -4.1 (-9.1) | 129.1 (+5.9) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2021 | NIA 66 – 58 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-9 | 9-11 |
| Conference | 6-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 4-5 | 5-3 |
| Away | 2-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#182) | -2.8 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#272) | -0.60 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#248) | -0.41 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#181) | 0.468 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.5% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.3% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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