Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -42.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 171.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +38 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -37.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 181.1 (-29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -24.7 (+13.3) | 161.6 (-9.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -22.4 (+15.6) | 164.4 (-12.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -30.2 (+7.8) | 167.6 (-15.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -32.4 (+5.6) | 163.4 (-11.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2020 | GONZ 95 – 78 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 9-7 |
| Home | 12-0 | 6-4 |
| Away | 7-0 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 19.7 (#4) | -13.3 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.02 (#1) | -4.47 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.48 (#1) | -6.90 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.865 (#1) | 0.301 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.3% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.7% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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