Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -39.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +17 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -37.0 (-20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -25.1 (-8.1) | 165.0 (+8.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -23.2 (-6.2) | 165.6 (+7.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -30.9 (-13.9) | 168.4 (+4.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -32.4 (-15.4) | 167.8 (+5.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2020 | GONZ 95 – 57 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 9-7 |
| Home | 12-0 | 6-4 |
| Away | 7-0 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 19.7 (#4) | -12.9 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.93 (#1) | -4.22 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.27 (#1) | -6.61 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.773 (#2) | 0.408 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.4% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 41.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.0% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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