Betting Lines
| Spread | CAL -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | CAL -900 SEA +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | CAL -12.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -8.4 (-3.4) | 127.0 (+8.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -6.9 (-1.9) | 127.6 (+7.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -7.4 (-2.4) | 129.4 (+5.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -8.9 (-3.9) | 129.1 (+5.9) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 4-5 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-3 |
| Away | 1-11 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#159) | -7.9 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#209) | -0.40 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#203) | -0.97 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#217) | 0.426 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 12.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.