Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–19 on winners spread MAE 10.1 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UIC @ Southern Illinois +2.4 139.6 57% 68–66 ✗
Rutgers @ USC +11.3 148.7 86% 75–78 ✓
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan -8.2 146.6 19% 59–62 ✗
Harvard @ Yale +12.9 141.4 87% 67–65 ✗
New Haven @ Saint Francis -1.1 131.3 38% 81–69 ✓
UMBC @ UAlbany -1.1 136.1 45% 68–65 ✓
McNeese @ Lamar -7.7 142.8 22% 64–63 ✓
UConn @ Creighton -7.0 139.1 23% 85–58 ✓
Murray State @ Belmont +6.2 159.3 74% 86–103 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +0.1 138.3 51% 72–68 ✗
Washington @ Northwestern +0.8 144.6 49% 76–62 ✗
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +0.9 153.9 54% 94–87 ✗
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -2.6 150.4 36% 64–81 ✗
Georgia State @ South Alabama +6.0 139.7 74% 67–69 ✓
Idaho @ Northern Arizona -4.2 144.7 35% 79–62 ✓
South Florida @ Temple -7.2 153.7 24% 78–79 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Southern Indiana -2.3 131.2 38% 58–46 ✓
Auburn @ Tennessee +3.7 153.9 70% 69–77 ✓
Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount -8.4 146.4 18% 104–73 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +5.1 153.4 74% 69–83 ✓
Delaware @ UTEP +0.9 131.4 56% 55–70 ✓
Colorado State @ Wyoming +2.9 135.5 60% 57–68 ✓
New Mexico @ San José State -14.6 141.2 13% 90–80 ✓
Pacific @ San Francisco +3.6 134.8 64% 82–87 ✓
Montana @ Sacramento State -4.3 153.2 34% 79–86 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Sam Houston +11.9 133.8 84% 67–83 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga +11.8 144.8 85% 65–73 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne -0.7 142.9 43% 61–76 ✗
Purdue @ Maryland -13.8 143.2 14% 93–63 ✓
Alabama @ Florida +6.4 167.4 75% 77–100 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +4.5 138.0 73% 58–75 ✓
Siena @ Canisius -8.7 131.4 20% 78–63 ✓
Samford @ Western Carolina +3.1 151.9 66% 88–74 ✗
Chattanooga @ Furman +10.8 142.3 84% 70–75 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas State -12.0 154.5 14% 95–61 ✓
Kansas City @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +15.7 150.0 88% 64–99 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulsa +7.5 150.4 75% 83–93 ✓
East Carolina @ Florida Atlantic +13.1 151.0 86% 76–75 ✗
TCU @ Colorado -2.3 153.4 35% 61–87 ✗
Minnesota @ Penn State -2.3 141.1 41% 75–77 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Rider -8.1 130.8 19% 78–81 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield +0.4 147.7 54% 72–65 ✗
Wright State @ Green Bay -2.5 144.8 39% 83–75 ✓
Marist @ Niagara -10.2 129.3 16% 58–46 ✓
Manhattan @ Mount St. Mary's +3.7 144.8 66% 65–72 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ UL Monroe -9.7 146.9 18% 83–79 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +10.4 144.6 85% 78–76 ✗
Cleveland State @ Milwaukee +6.7 153.5 79% 90–88 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Oakland +6.7 161.9 75% 65–76 ✓
Illinois @ Nebraska +3.0 144.0 64% 78–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.