Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NU -122 WASH +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +14 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -0.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -1.0 (-15.0) | 142.9 (-4.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -1.5 (-15.5) | 142.0 (-4.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -1.0 (-15.0) | 142.6 (-4.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -0.8 (-14.8) | 144.6 (-6.6) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2025 | WASH 76 – 71 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-8 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#59) | 12.3 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#93) | 1.54 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#91) | 2.24 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#121) | 0.558 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.18 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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