Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -155 NU +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | NU -2.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -1.7 (+6.7) | 140.6 (+6.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -1.5 (+6.5) | 139.8 (+7.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -1.3 (+6.3) | 140.5 (+6.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -1.5 (+6.5) | 142.2 (+4.8) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | WASH 76 – 62 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-9 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#96) | 10.7 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#87) | 1.35 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#81) | 1.99 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#126) | 0.542 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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