Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -278 DEL +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +15 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -3.3 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -2.2 (+12.8) | 130.3 (-5.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -0.8 (+14.2) | 131.0 (-6.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -1.6 (+13.4) | 131.0 (-6.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -0.9 (+14.1) | 131.4 (-6.4) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | UTEP 70 – 69 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#276) | -7.5 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#297) | -1.60 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#289) | -1.55 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#277) | 0.428 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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