Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | COLO +105 TCU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +26 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -2.5 (+28.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -1.5 (+27.5) | 148.7 (-0.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -1.3 (+27.3) | 148.9 (-0.9) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -1.8 (+27.8) | 149.4 (-1.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -2.3 (+28.3) | 153.4 (-5.4) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2025 | COLO 69 – 67 TCU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | COLO 76 – 56 TCU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | TCU 68 – 57 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-5 | 14-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#88) | 12.4 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#77) | 1.90 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#73) | 2.93 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#112) | 0.543 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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