Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -145 TCU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +20 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -0.7 (+19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -1.4 (+18.6) | 136.1 (-4.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -1.4 (+18.6) | 133.2 (-1.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -0.7 (+19.3) | 134.7 (-2.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -0.5 (+19.5) | 134.5 (-2.5) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | COLO 87 – 61 TCU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | COLO 69 – 67 TCU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | TCU 68 – 57 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 0-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#91) | 8.5 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#120) | 1.63 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#114) | 1.73 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#224) | 0.552 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.