Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | USC -950 RUTG +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | USC -13.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -10.7 (-7.7) | 150.1 (+2.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -11.6 (-8.6) | 146.8 (+6.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -11.8 (-8.8) | 147.3 (+5.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -11.3 (-8.3) | 148.7 (+4.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2025 | USC 97 – 89 RUTG |
| Feb 23, 2025 | RUTG 95 – 85 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L8 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#54) | 0.5 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#39) | 0.30 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#52) | 0.17 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#39) | 0.499 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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