Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -170 USC +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +10 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -1.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -1.9 (+8.1) | 151.6 (+28.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -1.8 (+8.2) | 152.1 (+27.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -1.7 (+8.3) | 153.5 (+26.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -0.6 (+9.4) | 153.9 (+26.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | USC 78 – 75 RUTG |
| Mar 13, 2025 | USC 97 – 89 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#76) | 9.9 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#74) | 1.50 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#64) | 2.26 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#98) | 0.555 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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