Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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53–20 on winners spread MAE 10.3 73 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Niagara @ Duke +32.7 139.9 90% 42–100 ✓
Merrimack @ Florida +21.5 147.4 90% 45–80 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Kentucky +25.3 150.2 90% 46–88 ✓
Mississippi State @ New Mexico +4.0 147.3 71% 78–80 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Western Illinois +0.6 131.9 44% 84–64 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ West Georgia +4.4 146.7 65% 64–72 ✓
Morehead State @ East Tennessee State +12.0 144.0 86% 62–77 ✓
Wake Forest @ Memphis -4.6 153.3 32% 69–68 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Radford -7.6 141.0 24% 81–73 ✓
UAlbany @ Siena +15.4 130.0 88% 63–73 ✓
Charleston Southern @ East Carolina +6.6 153.7 75% 77–65 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Canisius +1.3 128.2 56% 57–60 ✓
Army @ Marist +16.5 130.1 87% 65–76 ✓
Morgan State @ Old Dominion +4.6 150.0 61% 56–88 ✓
Holy Cross @ Sacred Heart +6.4 135.4 70% 66–79 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Drexel +8.1 146.7 72% 84–68 ✗
Northern Colorado @ St. Thomas-Minnesota -0.8 146.9 42% 72–73 ✗
South Alabama @ UAB +11.0 137.6 82% 72–80 ✓
Jackson State @ Arkansas +32.9 152.6 91% 61–115 ✓
Georgia State @ South Dakota State +9.2 130.2 81% 58–105 ✓
Omaha @ LSU +27.5 154.7 91% 73–99 ✓
Austin Peay @ Tulsa +8.5 144.1 73% 75–84 ✓
Hampton @ Norfolk State +5.7 127.7 65% 60–62 ✓
Little Rock @ Texas State +7.9 129.5 74% 56–65 ✓
Evansville @ Oregon State +4.6 140.4 51% 73–69 ✗
Manhattan @ Texas A&M +14.2 152.4 86% 68–109 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Saint Louis +24.4 154.0 90% 60–91 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Loyola Chicago +5.5 143.9 70% 76–59 ✗
UC Riverside @ San Diego +9.5 142.9 81% 85–71 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Pepperdine +1.9 153.8 57% 63–60 ✗
Denver @ Colorado State +20.6 149.1 88% 83–81 ✗
Northwestern State @ Grand Canyon +18.5 145.3 89% 72–85 ✓
Samford @ New Mexico State +12.5 146.4 85% 72–81 ✓
UC Davis @ Colorado +12.2 151.2 77% 79–95 ✓
Arkansas State @ SMU +18.5 159.1 88% 69–100 ✓
Georgia @ Xavier -11.1 156.3 20% 78–77 ✓
New Orleans @ Fresno State +0.0 145.3 56% 76–85 ✓
Texas Tech @ Purdue +2.0 148.4 57% 56–86 ✓
Kansas State @ Nebraska +2.3 157.2 58% 85–86 ✓
Southern @ San José State +8.6 151.6 78% 66–80 ✓
Louisiana @ Santa Clara +23.9 134.8 90% 43–80 ✓
Grambling @ California Baptist +17.2 142.7 88% 59–72 ✓
Montana State @ Long Beach State -2.7 137.2 34% 78–72 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Portland +5.1 149.9 60% 85–103 ✓
Seattle U @ Stanford +13.0 150.8 81% 77–69 ✗
Sacramento State @ California +22.5 149.1 89% 67–91 ✓
Presbyterian @ UCLA +16.8 128.6 86% 46–86 ✓
Wagner @ Georgetown +13.7 144.0 84% 75–92 ✓
NJIT @ Navy +10.6 137.3 85% 70–86 ✓
Fairfield @ Le Moyne +1.4 147.5 51% 97–83 ✗
Harvard @ Boston University -1.5 135.0 41% 74–75 ✗
Long Island University @ Illinois +25.7 153.6 90% 58–98 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Saint Peter's +13.4 147.5 88% 66–68 ✓
Central Michigan @ Marquette +13.3 145.6 86% 71–85 ✓
Cleveland State @ Kent State +16.3 164.7 89% 71–91 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Dayton +24.5 142.9 91% 55–74 ✓
Nicholls @ Oklahoma State +21.9 146.6 89% 81–95 ✓
Green Bay @ Massachusetts +4.2 141.6 69% 79–75 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Binghamton -1.4 129.4 49% 63–52 ✓
Mercer @ Eastern Kentucky +2.1 147.9 61% 95–83 ✗
Providence @ Penn State +5.9 159.5 69% 77–65 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Cal State Bakersfield +17.7 143.0 90% 70–86 ✓
Northeastern @ Duquesne +0.2 145.5 50% 93–86 ✗
Niagara @ Howard -3.0 128.1 38% 70–80 ✗
North Alabama @ Chattanooga +5.5 146.9 68% 57–71 ✓
Southern Indiana @ UIC +10.2 149.6 82% 73–84 ✓
UT Martin @ Prairie View A&M -9.2 151.5 21% 69–68 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Nevada +3.3 155.5 67% 64–77 ✓
Western Carolina @ Lipscomb +3.5 144.0 64% 62–83 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Missouri State -0.9 149.4 46% 67–74 ✗
Iona @ Oregon State -2.6 148.6 33% 91–84 ✓
San Francisco @ Minnesota +4.2 132.3 65% 77–65 ✗
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Cal State Fullerton -5.7 149.9 39% 80–88 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.