Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | STAN -700 SEA +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +8 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -9.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -10.2 (-18.2) | 152.7 (-6.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -9.6 (-17.6) | 148.7 (-2.7) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -10.9 (-18.9) | 151.7 (-5.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -13.0 (-21.0) | 150.8 (-4.8) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#64) | 5.0 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#61) | 0.13 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#38) | 0.72 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#87) | 0.434 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 54.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 43.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 62.4% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 80.9% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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