Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +145 MTST -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTST +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | MTST -4.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -3.4 (-2.6) | 133.1 (+16.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -2.2 (-3.8) | 134.4 (+15.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -1.7 (-4.3) | 135.9 (+14.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTST -2.7 (-3.3) | 137.2 (+12.8) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2023 | LBSU 75 – 69 MTST |
| Nov 14, 2022 | MTST 70 – 57 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#313) | 2.3 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#347) | -3.88 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.88 (#336) | -6.72 (#365) |
| RPI | 0.300 (#357) | 0.470 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 41.3% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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