Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU -138 MTST +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTST +13 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -15.4 (-28.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -7.9 (-20.9) | 142.7 (-15.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -11.3 (-24.3) | 146.6 (-19.6) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -8.9 (-21.9) | 143.5 (-16.5) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | MTST 78 – 72 LBSU |
| Nov 26, 2023 | LBSU 75 – 69 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-1 |
| Away | 6-9 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#56) | 1.6 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#30) | -0.52 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#27) | -0.66 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.800 (#25) | 0.250 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 23.1% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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