Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -800 UALB +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -17.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -11.0 (-1.0) | 130.4 (+5.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -12.2 (-2.2) | 130.3 (+5.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -12.8 (-2.8) | 129.2 (+6.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -15.4 (-5.4) | 130.0 (+6.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | UALB 70 – 60 SIE |
| Nov 26, 2023 | UALB 86 – 51 SIE |
| Nov 13, 2022 | SIE 75 – 62 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#149) | -10.1 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#276) | -1.76 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#261) | -2.72 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#242) | 0.382 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 34.3% |
| 3PT% | 25.4% | 20.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 39.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 26.6% |
| ORB% | 42.0% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 58.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 41.2% |
Game Analysis
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