Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -175 UALB +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -11.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -7.8 (+5.2) | 143.1 (-6.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -11.1 (+1.9) | 140.5 (-3.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | SIE 73 – 63 UALB |
| Nov 17, 2024 | UALB 70 – 60 SIE |
| Nov 26, 2023 | UALB 86 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 3-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#53) | 6.7 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#20) | -0.08 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#21) | -0.04 (#169) |
| RPI | — | 0.750 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 35.8% |
| 3PT% | 41.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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