Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | CAN -165 UMES +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +3 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | CAN -2.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -2.3 (+0.7) | 127.9 (-10.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -2.7 (+0.3) | 125.3 (-8.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -2.5 (+0.5) | 128.7 (-11.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -1.3 (+1.7) | 128.2 (-11.2) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 5-9 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-18 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#353) | -10.1 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#177) | 0.66 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#189) | 0.59 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#127) | 0.596 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 35.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 24.8% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 39.9% |
| TOV% | 25.1% | 30.2% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 10.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 63.9% | 60.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.