Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -50000 CMU +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +14 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -16.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -16.9 (-2.9) | 145.0 (+11.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -11.9 (+2.1) | 144.5 (+11.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -13.1 (+0.9) | 147.5 (+8.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -13.3 (+0.7) | 145.6 (+10.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2024 | MARQ 70 – 62 CMU |
| Nov 11, 2022 | MARQ 97 – 73 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-10 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#145) | -8.5 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#259) | -0.96 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#240) | -1.72 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#248) | 0.412 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.