Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -7500 CMU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -23.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -18.6 (-10.6) | 146.9 (-14.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -16.7 (-8.7) | 147.6 (-15.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -20.6 (-12.6) | 149.0 (-17.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -18.9 (-10.9) | 149.2 (-17.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | MARQ 85 – 71 CMU |
| Nov 11, 2022 | MARQ 97 – 73 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#14) | 0.4 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#13) | 0.54 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#9) | 1.33 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.938 (#8) | 0.500 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.38 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 11.1% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.