Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -6000 OMA +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +26 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -27.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -27.5 (-1.5) | 154.7 (+17.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | LSU -19.5 (+6.5) | 158.4 (+13.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | LSU -23.0 (+3.0) | 155.1 (+16.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -28.3 (-2.3) | 154.7 (+17.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 16.4 (#10) | -5.0 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#35) | -1.46 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.58 (#34) | -2.22 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#74) | 0.374 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.6% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 45.2 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.4% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 45.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 43.3% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 36.3% |
Game Analysis
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