Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WIU +145 CCU -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +20 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -2.1 (-22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -0.6 (-20.6) | 131.9 (+16.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -0.1 (-19.9) | 129.3 (+18.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -0.9 (-20.9) | 131.2 (+16.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -1.6 (-21.6) | 131.9 (+16.1) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 11-7 |
| Home | 4-11 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-15 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#248) | -0.2 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.85 (#345) | -0.72 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.71 (#351) | -0.91 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.333 (#346) | 0.350 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.42 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 82.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 34.3% |
Game Analysis
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