Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | MRST -1600 ARMY +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -22.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -12.5 (-1.5) | 128.0 (+13.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -16.3 (-5.3) | 128.7 (+12.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -16.4 (-5.4) | 128.7 (+12.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -16.5 (-5.5) | 130.1 (+10.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | MRST 91 – 88 ARMY |
| Nov 7, 2023 | MRST 71 – 55 ARMY |
| Nov 27, 2021 | ARMY 65 – 61 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-10 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#143) | -14.6 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#306) | -2.77 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.71 (#305) | -4.69 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.365 (#329) | 0.408 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 24.8% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.1% | 61.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.8% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.