Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +4 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -10.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -6.4 (-2.4) | 144.0 (-18.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -6.4 (-2.4) | 142.1 (-16.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -7.0 (-3.0) | 143.0 (-17.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -6.1 (-2.1) | 142.3 (-16.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | MRST 76 – 65 ARMY |
| Nov 16, 2024 | MRST 91 – 88 ARMY |
| Nov 7, 2023 | MRST 71 – 55 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#125) | -0.9 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#239) | 0.03 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#259) | -0.19 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#177) | 0.414 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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