Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | STMN -195 UNCO +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +1 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -8.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -3.6 (+4.6) | 146.1 (-1.1) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -0.1 (+0.9) | 145.2 (-0.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -0.8 (+1.8) | 146.9 (-1.9) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | STMN 87 – 75 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#189) | 7.5 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#214) | 2.85 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#243) | 5.04 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#226) | 0.677 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 27.4 | 47.0 |
| OREB / G | 3.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 12.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 41.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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