Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -195 STMN +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +12 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -5.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -3.7 (-15.7) | 156.5 (+5.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -5.0 (-17.0) | 153.2 (+8.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -5.6 (-17.6) | 153.8 (+8.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -5.6 (-17.6) | 156.3 (+5.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | STMN 73 – 72 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-4 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-0 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#109) | 3.1 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#83) | -0.57 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#70) | -0.32 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#52) | 0.456 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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