Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | GTWN -100000 WAG +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +17 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -12.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -15.1 (+1.9) | 142.2 (+24.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -12.5 (+4.5) | 142.3 (+24.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -13.2 (+3.8) | 143.5 (+23.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -13.7 (+3.3) | 144.0 (+23.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | GTWN 66 – 41 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#93) | -0.6 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#6) | -1.67 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.28 (#6) | -2.06 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#46) | 0.364 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 23.2% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 10.7% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 38.7% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.2% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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