Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -130 KSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +1 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -3.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -1.4 (-0.4) | 157.5 (+13.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -1.7 (-0.7) | 158.6 (+12.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -2.3 (-1.3) | 157.7 (+13.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -2.3 (-1.3) | 156.9 (+14.1) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2023 | NEB 62 – 46 KSU |
| Dec 18, 2022 | KSU 71 – 56 NEB |
| Dec 19, 2021 | KSU 67 – 58 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Away | 7-3 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#31) | 9.1 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#16) | 2.79 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.92 (#25) | 4.75 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.654 (#31) | 0.670 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 53.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 45.9% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.91 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 62.5% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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