They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–13 on winners spread MAE 12.4 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Army -8.6 145.2 38% 114–59 ✓
Florida State @ Florida +5.9 163.3 75% 76–78 ✓
Radford @ North Carolina +22.1 146.5 89% 74–89 ✓
Norfolk State @ Old Dominion — — — 57–60 —
Drexel @ Colgate +3.2 139.0 67% 83–90 ✓
Alcorn State @ Maryland +13.1 138.5 84% 64–84 ✓
Winthrop @ Coastal Carolina +2.6 151.4 70% 66–72 ✓
Florida A&M @ UCF +16.3 150.9 87% 60–97 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Villanova +14.7 151.8 86% 60–94 ✓
Northwestern State @ North Alabama +6.5 140.9 71% 83–87 ✓
Toledo @ Wright State +13.5 142.5 86% 81–71 ✗
Jacksonville @ High Point +13.8 150.8 88% 64–85 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Florida Gulf Coast +3.8 164.5 61% 95–94 ✗
La Salle @ Temple +6.2 142.4 68% 63–90 ✓
Wagner @ Fordham -2.0 138.3 41% 61–63 ✗
Chicago State @ Butler +20.3 156.0 90% 66–98 ✓
Davidson @ Charlotte +13.4 145.6 82% 62–55 ✗
NJIT @ Loyola Maryland +2.4 130.9 70% 66–64 ✗
William & Mary @ Richmond — — — 86–90 —
Stonehill @ Rhode Island +8.1 141.3 74% 57–80 ✓
Dayton @ Cincinnati +2.1 138.2 56% 62–74 ✓
Morehead State @ Clemson +28.1 148.0 91% 56–83 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Boston College +19.3 132.1 89% 60–59 ✗
Northeastern @ Harvard +5.1 150.2 62% 77–60 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Providence +4.1 157.1 62% 81–106 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis -0.1 139.7 50% 74–66 ✓
Bucknell @ Princeton -8.5 143.3 26% 63–73 ✗
Alabama State @ UAB +24.7 146.7 90% 77–74 ✗
Yale @ Quinnipiac -10.9 149.9 28% 97–60 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Notre Dame +18.6 142.2 89% 58–78 ✓
Kentucky @ Louisville +10.1 152.0 78% 88–96 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Arkansas +26.4 144.4 90% 56–93 ✓
Wofford @ Auburn +17.4 144.5 88% 62–93 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Kansas +20.7 139.9 88% 46–77 ✓
Merrimack @ Tarleton State +9.1 147.6 82% 62–76 ✓
Tulane @ Louisiana +4.9 126.4 64% 66–62 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Rice +1.2 138.9 60% 81–69 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Oklahoma +20.9 150.2 90% 69–95 ✓
Buffalo @ DePaul +15.7 143.3 88% 66–53 ✗
Arkansas State @ Missouri State — — — 86–85 —
Cal State Northridge @ North Dakota State +7.8 143.9 73% 68–90 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Nebraska +25.7 136.8 90% 50–69 ✓
Murray State @ SMU +4.4 150.4 53% 91–102 ✓
Queens University @ Duquesne +16.9 150.8 86% 81–87 ✓
Texas Tech @ Illinois +18.5 161.2 88% 77–81 ✓
Ball State @ Wisconsin +16.7 143.8 86% 55–86 ✓
Austin Peay @ Wyoming -1.9 145.4 53% 65–79 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Arizona +24.1 147.6 87% 49–84 ✓
Delaware @ BYU +17.6 143.3 86% 68–85 ✓
Memphis @ Ole Miss — — — 77–83 —
UC Riverside @ New Mexico +11.5 131.8 80% 68–82 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ UTEP — — — 71–58 —
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Boise State — — — 65–85 —
Hampton @ Virginia +13.4 142.3 82% 53–91 ✓
Western Illinois @ Cal State Bakersfield +1.4 134.3 53% 58–74 ✓
Creighton @ Gonzaga +20.4 148.7 88% 63–90 ✓
Ohio @ Saint Mary's +17.8 145.1 89% 60–90 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Sacramento State — — — 92–87 —
Montana @ UNLV — — — 102–93 —
Binghamton @ Georgetown +22.3 134.4 90% 70–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.