Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | BC -4000 CCSU +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +1 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | BC -24.6 (-25.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -17.6 (-18.6) | 128.8 (-9.8) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BC -21.7 (-22.7) | 132.3 (-13.3) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -19.3 (-20.3) | 132.1 (-13.1) | 89% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2023 | BC 82 – 68 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#99) | -7.8 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#189) | -0.86 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#190) | -1.59 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.333 (#279) | 0.000 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 27.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 17.4% |
| REB / G | 49.5 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 30.8% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 7.2% |
| DRB% | 80.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 7.0% |
Game Analysis
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