Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | BC -2000 CCSU +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +14 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BC -15.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -12.6 (+1.4) | 142.1 (+7.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -11.4 (+2.6) | 142.4 (+7.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -11.9 (+2.1) | 141.8 (+8.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -11.0 (+3.0) | 141.6 (+8.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | CCSU 60 – 59 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-3 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#90) | -4.5 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#83) | -1.17 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#84) | -2.08 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#65) | 0.429 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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