Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -35.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +35 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -26.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -19.1 (+15.9) | 147.8 (-14.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -23.0 (+12.0) | 148.7 (-15.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -24.1 (+10.9) | 147.6 (-14.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | ARIZ 81 – 52 NAU |
| Dec 8, 2020 | ARIZ 96 – 53 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-3 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 9-1 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 11-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#45) | -5.3 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#35) | -2.24 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#36) | -3.34 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.833 (#19) | 0.000 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.2% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 45.0% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 8.6% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 36.3% | 9.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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