Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN +230 YALE -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +37 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -17.4 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -6.5 (-30.5) | 145.3 (+11.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -8.9 (-28.1) | 147.7 (+9.3) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -10.9 (-26.1) | 149.9 (+7.1) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | YALE 88 – 62 QUIN |
| Dec 12, 2023 | YALE 73 – 66 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 24-7 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-3 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 9-7 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#288) | 23.9 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#245) | 3.78 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#273) | 6.49 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#308) | 0.750 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 46.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 2.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 59.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 13.0% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 80.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 42.0% |
Game Analysis
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