Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | QUIN +320 YALE -420 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -1.4 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -0.7 (-6.3) | 146.0 (-7.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -1.2 (-8.2) | 147.3 (-8.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -0.8 (-7.8) | 148.7 (-9.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -0.9 (-7.9) | 149.3 (-10.3) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | YALE 97 – 60 QUIN |
| Nov 5, 2024 | YALE 88 – 62 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-2 |
| Away | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#267) | 1.3 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#146) | -0.08 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#172) | 0.09 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#181) | 0.485 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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