Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | GTWN -100000 BING +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +13 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -32.7 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -21.7 (-8.7) | 137.3 (+15.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -19.8 (-6.8) | 135.3 (+17.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -26.9 (-13.9) | 136.4 (+16.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -22.3 (-9.3) | 134.4 (+18.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-12 |
| Home | 10-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#43) | -11.4 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#6) | -2.20 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#3) | -3.25 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#86) | 0.417 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 19.6% | 16.0% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 37.6% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 42.4% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 9.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 42.7% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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