Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -35.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +19 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -28.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | NEB -21.0 (-2.0) | 131.8 (-12.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -26.3 (-7.3) | 131.9 (-12.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -25.7 (-6.7) | 136.8 (-17.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 5-9 |
| Home | 16-2 | 6-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-18 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#42) | -7.3 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#108) | -0.59 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#96) | -0.76 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#136) | 0.500 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 27.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 17.1% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.04 | 0.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.5% | 31.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 34.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 10.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.2% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 58.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.0% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.