Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB -360 WIU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +16 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -5.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -0.4 (+15.6) | 141.3 (-9.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -1.1 (+14.9) | 141.1 (-9.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -1.4 (+14.6) | 134.3 (-2.3) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 1-19 |
| Home | 6-11 | 4-11 |
| Away | 1-13 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L15 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#250) | 2.7 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#196) | -0.57 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#206) | -0.65 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#136) | 0.562 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 35.8% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.5% | 60.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 11.5% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.